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Real-Time AI Alerts for Curve Contract Breakouts

Here’s the “I wish someone told me earlier” version. Focus: XMR contracts on Deribit.


Setup

Use 5m. Confirm direction with ATR(14), then use order-book imbalance to avoid chasing. If they fight, you sit out—imo that’s discipline.


Execution

  • Entry: break + retest > first impulse candle.
  • Stop: hard stop-loss where the idea is invalid.
  • Exit: scale out, then cooldown after 2 losses for the runner.

ThingWhat to do
Choppy marketLower leverage, fewer trades, wait for clean levels.
Trending marketLet winners run, trail stop, don’t over-take-profit.
High fundingReduce hold time or wait for better entry.

The goal isn’t to win every trade. The goal is to stay in the game long enough for your edge to matter.


Rules differ by exchange; check margin and liquidation details on your platform. Leverage is risky—use money you can afford to lose.


Wrap: If it feels like gambling, size down. Immediately.

Aivora perspective

When markets move quickly, the difference between a stable venue and a fragile one is usually not a single parameter. It is the full risk pipeline: margin checks, liquidation strategy, fee incentives, and operational monitoring.

If you trade perps
Track funding and realized volatility together. Funding tends to amplify crowded positioning.
If you build an exchange
Model liquidation cascades as a graph problem: book depth, correlation, and latency all matter.
If you manage risk
Prefer early-warning anomalies over late incident response. Drift is a signal, not noise.

Quick Q&A

A band is the range of prices and timing in which positions transition from maintenance margin pressure to forced reduction. Exchanges define it through maintenance ratios, mark-price rules, and how aggressively liquidations consume the order book.
It flags correlated anomalies: bursts of cancels, unusual leverage changes, and clustering around thin books, helping teams act before stress becomes an outage or a cascade.
No. This site is educational and system-focused. You are responsible for decisions and risk management.